I think Obama is going to be the clear winner. My prediction is that Obama wins 322-216 in the electoral votes and that he also wins the popular vote as well. The reason I think he is going to win is that he just had major momentum since the beginning of the race. So far the polls have also been in his favor, some even going as far as saying he had a 12 point lead. Another major reason is the amount of money he had to run his campaign. He rejected the public campaign money and has made over $600 million dollars. This means he is out spending McCain 4-1 and is getting more ads out on t.v.
My pick for the senate is Mark Warner. This is very clear because all the polls I have come across have him ahead with a huge lead. In a October 20th Rasmussen poll Mark Warner had a 61% to 36% lead on Jim Gilmore.
For the 10th House seat I think that Frank Wolf is going to win. I think he is going to win because the 10th district is a republican district and although its trending away in the last election Frank Wolf had a big lead 57-41% against Judy Feder.
For the 11th House seat I think Gerry Connolly is going to win because he is the only candidate in the race with any real local government experience.
Monday, November 3, 2008
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